To split Nigeria, the currently active and sleeping insurgencies in the north, northeast, resurgent intensity in its oil-producing Niger Delta and south are strategically not sufficient. Last year Shekau's Boko Haram (BH1) stepped up violence in Adamawa state where it has a presence since 2009.
Part-time terrorists and full-time criminals
Local and transnational organized crime supports the presence of Boko Haram in Kwara. Its silent focus is the economy, the supply chains for prime consumer goods, and social coherence. That which makes it unique is the co-operation and strategic alliances between Christian and Muslim groups. It is living proof that money and profit are the driving factors that have instigated a unique relationship of mutual beneficence between the two. Both are part-time terrorists and full-time criminals.
Kwara State is the ONLY northern state where Muslims and Christians live side by side without war! A befitting target for al Qaeda affiliates.
Ongoing AML investigations revealed local and foreign financial support via Qatar and structural support via Turkey. (H) (T)
In 2019 Al Qaeda honored Boko Haram by assigning members with decades of experience dating back to the '90s in Yemen and Sudan. (H) (T)
National unity is the biggest challenge in Nigeria
Issues of sovereignty and nationalism
In Africa, tribal identity politics come into play based on the survival of tribes. Instead of economic gain, ideology provides a moral reason for people who are fighting or give up resources to the fight.
The African agenda
Because of the heightened sense of urgency after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, not only the intelligence services but also mission strategists of al Qaeda's were interested in "the African agenda" of the Bush administration. (H) (ULTRASCAN HUMINT) The group was alerted in September 2008 when the then-Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice paid a visit to Tripoli, Libya, and met with Qaddafi (Gaddafi). Weapons, mercenaries trained by Libya stoke regional conflicts funded with Libya's gold bullion.
Recognizing the potential long-term, Gaddafi aligned his actions with "the African agenda" of the Bush administration. To gain influence throughout the continent, Gaddafi was "intimidating" many African heads of state and government. From February 2009, Gaddafi (Qaddafi) promoted the concept of a "United States of Africa."
Similar to some other world leaders, Libya's Muammar Gaddafi is known for his theatrics and grandstanding that buries significant facts by adding fantastic and irrelevant context. It takes an experienced observer to recognize the bits of high-value intelligence in a blur of grandstanding.
Ethnic or religious lines
In March 2010, improving his knowledge about the composition of Nigeria's population, after previously saying that to end communal clashes, a "deep conflict of religious nature," it should be divided into two - along religious lines, a Muslim and a Christian country. Gaddafi said Nigeria should be divided into several states along ethnic lines.
Former Chief of Army Staff Lt. General Abdulrahman Bello Dambazau has alerted the nation of overt and covert moves by military adventurists to Interfere In the politics of the country.
(2009) Following an outbreak of sectarian violence, the leader of North Africa's Al Qaida branch offered training and weapons to Nigeria's Muslims to fight the Christians there. Abdelmalek Droukdel, leader of Al Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), in a statement posted on an Islamic Web site, accused Nigeria's Christians of killing hundreds of Muslims in a 'Crusader war.'
Droukdel promised to train Muslim youths, supply them with weapons and equipment. "We are ready to train your sons using weapons, support them with men, weapons, ammunition, and equipment, to enable them to defend themselves." He said, urging Nigerians to "push your sons into the fields of jihad to become the fighting vanguard in defense of the Muslims' blood and honor."
The bond al Qaeda - Fulani
In recent decades Al Qaeda created a relationship with the semi-nomad Fulani by often depending on them for logistics. The Fulani, one of the largest ethnic groups in the Sahel and West Africa, is almost exclusively Muslim. National unity is the biggest challenge in Nigeria; in 2009, Al Qaeda started to groom Fulani to alienate them and disrupt the national federation of Nigeria. (H)
Nigeria designated Al Qaeda headquarters
Boko Haram must be considered the most advanced, well prepared, disciplined, and robust financed terror organization in 50 years. Very effective!
A decade of sustained "presence and fear" established Boko Haram as a reliable affiliate of al Qaeda.
Al Qaeda rewarded in 2019 the Boko Haram leadership by assigning members, with decades of experience dating back to the '90s in Yemen and Sudan
In consultation with Bola Tinubu, the Kano state Governor Ganduje dethroned Emir Sanusi II over disrespect to the lawful authorities. (H)
African states cannot govern themselves
The basis for current geo-policy for Africa is dating back to the 19th and the first half of the 20th century. One of the most controversial visions within the West's current leadership is that, with some exceptions, African States cannot or are incapable of governing themselves: A statement verging on blatant racism and eugenics.
Opposing geostrategies for Africa all about the resources, financing, and debts
The US, Canada, UK, Europe, Russia, Turkey, Iran, Libya, Egypt, Israel, UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, India, China, North Korea, South Korea, …..
The superpowers' pursuit of "proxy wars" in sub-Sahara Africa and Latin America
Since the 9/11 attacks, the West has started limited wars. But Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya show: that those wars become protracted, indecisive, and outright failures …… or not, depending on the focus, scope, and desired results, some within the intelligence services consider those wars a blatant success in a long-term geo-strategy. (H)
Fourth-generation warfare (4GW) is conflict characterized by a blurring of the lines between war and politics, combatants, and civilians.
Synergy limits the "proxy" strategy by the “nexus of organized crime, politics, and terrorism” that defines the opportunities, scope, and strength of instruments available within the chosen realm. Finance, economy, commodities and financial markets, depreciation of currencies, organized crime, military, Information warfare, refugee flows, humanitarian, health, education, media, support for political and ethnic opponents, extremist and terrorism ….. all instruments criminally applied on Nigeria (Africa).
Banks from the U.S., U.K., and Europe have withdrawn from the African continent. Their branches elsewhere have limited and stopped service to African PEPs. Non-African Banks (financial institutions) with African owners are under the scrutiny of the financial regulators. (H) (T) (ULTRASCAN-FIU)
Nigeria and specific Nigerians. are subjected to financial US and EU sanctions
Alert 25 February 2020 - Terrorists spread Poliovirus (WPV1-cVDPV2)
When terrorists suffer losses and loss of territory caused by Military pressure, that frees resources for asymmetrical threats inside and outside their initial area. Fighters ….. from Afghanistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Syria, Libya, Somalia, Mali, Burkina Faso, Chad, …… move hundreds or thousands of miles, bringing along infectious disease uncommon to their destination.
Alert! - Humint from inside Boko Haram, Surveillance and Counter Surveillance revealed Travel Patterns. In essence, Boko Haram terrorist(s) infected with poliovirus traveled 800 miles from their base in North-East Nigeria, (unwittingly?) bringing polio to areas of Africa where it was eradicated long ago. (H)
Note - intelligence operations regarding viral agents from Afghanistan and Nigeria, revealed a connection between viral agents and mining companies.
Although shaped by years of academic study and research this is written from a practitioner's point of view. It does not offer dialogue or 'peace processes' but rather a rapid response solution to extinguish via a violent antidote and put to death a poisonous ideology that has become an hybrid of greed, profit and power masquerading as a religion. We need to cut off their money supply and obviously funding is required for those of us that are able to do this. HUMINT on the ground can easily pave the way and enter the fray to eliminate the threat scenario.
Revolutionary armed gangs with exclusive ideologies target civilian groups to a greater degree than those that are hybrids of organised crime gangs and terrorists, part time terrorists but full time criminals such as the 'ndrangheta who supplied passports to the Madrid al-Qaeda cell in exchange for heroin and cocaine. Who then inflicted the Madrid train bombings leading to Spain withdrawing from Iraq. They consider themselves to have a greater degree of understanding than 'inclusive' groups engaging in 'legitimate' targeting. This makes them a greater threat because they seek to legitimise civilian fatalities 'for the greater good' or because it helps them to reach their goals quicker.
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