Diplomacy "so far, so good" an open end deal (- 2007)
Iran was always open to "flexibility" when it came to diplomacy and that got Iran to where its today ...... some chess-players might think "so far, so good".
Terrorism proxies ... an option (- 2011)
Because of the gradual increasing squeeze by sanctions, the axis of financial ties between the Islamic Republic of Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas had to rely more on underground (illegal) financial streams. Those financial streams are also instrumental for Iran to fund several anti US and anti Europe terror organizations operating in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.
Wait for uprisings to devour and divide Iran
Iran has significant potential to be divided by its internal and cross border religious and ethnic groups that seem to be adamant to reclaim their ancient rights. (What Kurds think about Rouhani’s visit and promises in Kurdistan) Kurds, Taliban but also the Khorasan Province branch, which is active across the whole of Afghanistan plus the adjacent parts, including Iran.
Iran could try to delay that process of uprisings, also across its borders. Enabling a "Gorbachev scenario", with "Dear Mr. Rouhani tear down this wall!" (- 2014)
No choice left but ... Attack ! - "Microwaves From The Sky" (- 2007)
Direct action is useless if it doesn't increase the chances for Iran to be a respected regional power and fulfill its destiny in the Islamic world. To attain that, Iran has to successfully attack at least one of the large (economic) stakeholders, "The West".
Europe being tactical and strategic the weakest, the United States off guard by its own (global) strategies and the decades of diplomacy that left ample time for Iran to prepare for an attack with "Microwaves From The Sky" (EMP)
First published by Ultrascan AGI in July 2007
Motivation by Event - With today's prevailing picture of Hamas killing few Israeli (soldiers) and the Israeli army killing many elderly, woman and children, Palestinian brothers and sisters in distress have become the next purpose of an Islamic State.
"This gives the largest motivational podium possible. Channeling its hatred directly to your doorstep via the global support movement of Hamas, Fatah and jihad recruiters in every civil rights organisation and university in your neighborhood. Right under your nose (!?)"
Attacks Israel from all sides !
All current Palestinian areas and refugee camps in the surrounding countries, Gaza, west bank, south Lebanon, Syria, Jordan and the Sinai are becoming platforms for attacks on Israel. Eventually leading to a larger area necessary for the two state solution.
In the early stages Israeli defense readiness is strategically limited and its allies including the USA will relapse into the usual political dilly-dally and "seem" unwilling to support aggressive steps.
"When Israel is massively attacked the Middle East will explode. 19 states will realize an Islamic State is an uncontrollable threat undermining all of them, including the suspects of supporting the fight for a Caliphate. Forget about individual or coordinated effort, no Arab country is able to decisively move on an Islamic State and the fight for a Caliphate. The problem can only be solved by military action and reshaping of the Middle East. Say goodbye to Sykes-Picot borders."
August 17, 2014 Ultrascan Humint Alerts
After the unexpected (!) barrage of rockets from Gaza, Israel will react predictable strong and provoke attacks by more of the state and non state actors with a vision of an Islamic Caliphate.
Analyzing the Middle East one should not only consider their regional goals as a fighting proxy but also the wider scope of their mission statement', to establish an Islamic Caliphate. Which is a common goal of several powerful state and non-state actors e.g., all affiliates and off shoots of Al Qaeda, but also Hezbollah, Hamas, Fatah, Turkey, Qatar, Iran.... [..]
The Israeli defense is well prepared for capabilities and tactics aligned with the mission of its enemies but not for the scope aligned with the long-term vision to establish an Islamic Caliphate.
- May 13, 2021
A video clip surfaced on the internet - Tuesday 20 12 2022
Video surfaces of Biden saying the Iran nuclear deal is ‘dead’; White House doesn’t deny.
Clip from November shows US president telling activists who pulled him aside in California that he won't declare publicly that deal is dead.
"But they do have a nuclear weapon, that they'll represent"
The allies of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Assad government in Syria, Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza are under pressure as result of the war in the area and their value is rapidly declining as vital part of Iran's strategy to face any possible attack by the USA due to Iran's nuclear program.
(narratives in the doctrine 2007-2016-2017-2020-2021)
Under the current circumstances, the original plan is still active. Since July 2007, the first option is to strike Iran from another country in the Middle East, not a direct strike by Israel or the USA. For example, from Iraq.
Today, that narrative still suits everyone involved. Especially US Presidents and Israeli Prime-ministers.
October 31 2023 The third US Naval group arrives in the Middle East. Two aircraft carriers, F-15s, F-16s, Eurofighters, Patriot Missiles, THAAD batteries, destroyers, and Marines.
One doesn't need to be a genius to recognize that these formations are planned during a decade.
Alert October 03 2022
Ongoing Intelligence, Surveillance, Counter Surveillance HUMINT and AML research revealed: Travel Patterns, Funding, Support, Facilitators for Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria.
Alert! January 16 2022
Threat to Ecosystems Heads of State and Monarchies
Iran is defending itself from a ‘brazen’ plan to change its government. This Western policy is perceived as a death threat, and therefore it instructed its intelligence services to mirror that policy towards leaders in the West. same policy towards leaders in the West. In this aspect, it's impossible to overstate the significance of General Qasem Soleimani's killing!
The IRGC has infiltrated the personal ecosystems of heads of state and poses a clear and current danger to them, the princesses and princes of European monarchies, wherever they are!
(terror) proxies typically disguise Iran's revenge attacks within the military domain or both.
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